2023 Q3
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2023Q3
¢International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2023: U.S. real GDP will grow by 2.4 %, Japan's real GDP will grow by 2.0%, China`s real GDP will grow by 5.6%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 0.9%.
2023 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
Unit:%
|
IMF
|
UN
|
S&P Global
|
OECD
|
EIU
|
WB
|
|
2023.10
|
2023.05
|
2023.11
|
2023.09
|
2023.08
|
2023.06
|
|
(2023.07)
|
(2023.01)
|
(2023.10)
|
(2023.06)
|
(2023.07)
|
(2023.01)
|
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
Global
|
3.0
|
2.9
|
2.3
|
2.5
|
2.6
|
2.3
|
3.0
|
2.7
|
2.5
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
2.4
|
(3.0)
|
(3.0)
|
(1.9)
|
(2.7)
|
(2.6)
|
(2.3)
|
(2.7)
|
(2.9)
|
(2.3)
|
(2.2)
|
(1.7)
|
(2.7)
|
USA
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
(1.8)
|
(1.0)
|
(0.4)
|
(1.7)
|
(2.5)
|
(1.6)
|
(1.6)
|
(1.0)
|
(2.0)
|
(0.8)
|
(0.5)
|
(1.6)
|
JAPAN
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
(1.4)
|
(1.0)
|
(1.5)
|
(1.3)
|
(1.7)
|
(0.9)
|
(1.3)
|
(1.1)
|
(2.0)
|
(1.1)
|
(1.0)
|
(0.7)
|
EURO
|
0.7
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
1.3
|
(0.9)
|
(1.5)
|
(0.1)
|
(1.6)
|
(0.5)
|
(0.5)
|
(0.9)
|
(1.5)
|
(0.7)
|
(1.0)
|
(0.0)
|
(1.6)
|
CHINA
|
5.0
|
4.2
|
5.3
|
4.5
|
5.2
|
4.7
|
5.1
|
4.6
|
5.5
|
4.8
|
5.6
|
4.6
|
(5.2)
|
(4.5)
|
(4.8)
|
(4.5)
|
(5.0)
|
(4.6)
|
(5.4)
|
(5.1)
|
(5.2)
|
(4.8)
|
(4.3)
|
(5.0)
|
WORLD
|
0.9
|
3.5
|
2.3
|
3.6
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.7
|
2.7
|
1.7
|
2.8
|
TRADE
|
(2.0)
|
(3.7)
|
(-0.4)
|
(2.5)
|
(-)
|
(-)
|
(1.6)
|
(3.8)
|
(0.7)
|
(2.7)
|
(1.6)
|
(3.4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Note:: ( ) advance estimate。
Source:
1. IMF:World Economic Outlook(October 10th 2023)
2. UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects at of mid-2023(May 16th 2023)
3. S&P Global(November 15th 2023)
4. OECD:OECD Economic Outlook(September 2023)
5. EIU:One-click Report:World(forecast closing date:November 13th 2023)
6. WB:Global Economic Prospects(June 2023)
7. Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
|
¢ Taiwan Economic Overview
Key domestic economic indicators in 2023Q3:The real GDP increase by 2.32%.The value of export orders is US$145.16 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 14.50%.The total export value is 114.90 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 5.08%.The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 88.63 and 87.75, respectively. This represents a year-on-year decrease of 11.06% and 11.37%.
Indicator
|
Statistical interval
|
Data
|
YoY
|
GDP (%)
|
2023Q3
|
2.32
|
—
|
Export Orders
(US$ billion)
|
2023Q3
|
145.16
|
q14.50%
|
Custom Exports
(US$ billion)
|
2023Q3
|
114.90
|
q5.08%
|
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan
|
2023Q3
|
88.63
|
q11.06%
|
¢Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of September 2023, a total of 238,442 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number increased by 3,320 compared to the previous year, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.41%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 14.67 trillion, an increase of 4.81% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 937, an annual decline of 4.39%.
The number of Profit-seeking Enterprises in Taipei City is 247,629 and the amount of Profit-seeking Enterprise Income is 2.95 trillion, an annual increase of 3.13%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 2.35 trillion, an annual increase of 2.55%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amounted to US$ 7.16 billion, an annual decrease of 11.54%. The number of newly established foreign companies in Taipei City is 53, a decrease of 13.11% over the same period last year.
Indicator
|
Statistical interval
|
Data
|
YoY
|
Industry & Business Registration
(Number)
|
Sep 2023 (bottom value)
|
238,442
|
p1.41%
|
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion))
|
Sep 2023 (bottom value)
|
14.67
|
▲4.81%
|
Factory Registration
(Number)
|
Sep 2023 (bottom value)
|
937
|
q4.39%
|
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number)
|
Sep 2023 (bottom value)
|
247,629
|
p1.53%
|
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
(NT$ trillion)
|
Jul. - Sep. 2023
(Cumulative value)
|
2.95
|
p3.13%
|
Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion)
|
Jul. - Sep. 2023
(Cumulative value)
|
2.35
|
p2.55%
|
Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million)
|
Jul. - Sep. 2023
(Cumulative value)
|
7.16
|
q11.54%
|
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
(Number)
|
Jul. - Sep. 2023
(Cumulative value)
|
53
|
q13.11%
|